CCMC CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2026-07-24T04:38:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2026-07-24T04:38ZDONKI Link: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/47753/-1
CME Note: CME first seen to the SE in STEREO A COR2 starting around 2026-07-24T04:38Z. It is also seen to the S in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and GOES CCOR-1. The source is a filament eruption centered around S20E15 best seen in SDO AIA 193 starting as early as 2026-07-24T04:04Z. The arrival of this CME may have been detected at L1 at 2026-07-27T15:27Z, characterized by an amplification of magnetic field components with Btotal increasing from ~5nT to 7nT, an increase in speed from ~360 km/s to ~420 km/s, and increases in density and temperature.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2026-07-27T15:27Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2026-07-27T07:55Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 60.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.42857 - 5.57143
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: -3.20 hour(s)
Difference: 7.53 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2026-07-27T18:39Z
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